It appears that the COVID-19 pandemic is unrelenting at the time of this writing. Today there are 170,000 infections globally. If I plot the data from the 17th of February until present day, the data fits a polynomial function of fourth order. I have not used data before this as around the 17th of February is when the number of cases around the world started to increase and cases in China started to plateau.
Over the next two weeks the total number of global cases is expected to exceed 700,000. If I take the derivative of the curve and I can see the total number of new infections per day.
Currently there are about 10,000 new infections per day, however in just two weeks time there will be nearly 70,000 new infections per day.
I'll come back in two weeks to revisit this predictions.
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